Matthew effect
The Wisdom of CrowdsThe Matthew effect is the cumulative process by which an existing advantage attracts further recognition and reward. The book connects the term to Robert K. Merton’s studies of scientific credit and intellectual property, setting it within a wider argument about how knowledge, reputation, and collective judgment are organized.
Merton’s Studies of Recognition
Merton’s 1968 article “The Matthew Effect” and his 1988 sequel, “The Matthew Effect II: Cumulative Advantage and the Symbolism of Intellectual Property,” supply the book’s direct references for the concept. Together, their titles frame the subject as a process: advantage accumulates, while the recognition attached to intellectual work becomes bound up with questions of ownership and credit.
The book also cites Richard Lewontin’s paper in connection with Merton’s later discussion. That reference places the Matthew effect within a scholarly conversation about how intellectual contributions are recognized, rather than treating it as a detached slogan. The evidence identifies these works and their relation, but does not specify particular findings or examples from them.
A Contrast with Collective Judgment
The Introduction opens with Francis Galton at a livestock exhibition in Plymouth in 1906. Galton’s long-standing belief was that society’s health depended on keeping power in the hands of a small, well-bred elite; his earlier measurements of exhibition-goers had left him contemptuous of the intelligence of ordinary people. This account establishes the hierarchy of ability and authority against which the book’s argument for collective judgment is set.
The Introduction later turns from estimating an ox’s weight to the far more complex search for the lost submarine Scorpion. In 1968, John Craven gathered individual wagers from men with different kinds of expertise and combined their estimates using Bayes’s theorem. The contrast does not itself define the Matthew effect, but it sharpens the book’s broader concern: knowledge and judgment can be distributed across people, even as recognition and authority may accrue unevenly.
The Concept in a Wider Argument
Other examples in the book show how aggregation can produce useful results from dispersed contributions. A Google search, for instance, returns highly ranked pages from a vast field of Web material; a crowded bar presents a coordination problem in which each person’s choice depends on expectations about everyone else. These cases concern information and coordination, not the Matthew effect directly. Their relevance is contextual: they place Merton’s account of cumulative advantage inside a book that repeatedly asks how individual contributions combine, and how the systems that organize those contributions shape what becomes visible and valuable.
The book also uses Hollywood gangster films to illuminate organizational forms. In the top-down structure represented by The Godfather, Part II, Michael Corleone can make decisions quickly and direct distant operations, but his lieutenants have reasons to withhold information or pursue their own interests. As the organization grows, Michael becomes increasingly isolated from perspectives beyond his own. The example concerns the consequences of concentrated authority rather than Merton’s specific thesis; alongside the Matthew effect, it helps frame the book’s continuing distinction between centralized control and the distributed production of knowledge.
